AI發展快於預期,機器人寫的小說預計到2030年就能登上暢銷書排行榜
· 2024-01-09

AI Impacts組織針對2千7百多名AI專家進行問卷調查,結果顯示受訪者認為AI進步的速度將比他們預期快了10年,例如具備自動建立支付網站或生成《紐約時報》暢銷排行榜等級小說能力的AI,都可望提前在6年內出現

/AI Impacts

此外,原本預計AI系統要到2040年才能寫出可登上《紐約時報》暢銷排行榜的小說,現在也提前到2030年;原先以為2043年之後才能翻譯新發現的語言,也會在2030年左右達成;先前估計自動尋找及修補安全漏洞的能力也得等到2043年,最新的預測則會在2033年以前完成。

至於這群AI專家在未來30年最擔心因AI而衍生的問題則以假訊息居冠,包括以AI來創作及散布假訊息,利用AI系統來操縱大眾意見趨勢,獨裁者利用AI來控制人民。另也擔心AI系統會加劇經濟上的不平等,讓某些人得以以不成比例的方式受惠,或是讓某些危險團體打造強大的惡意工具等。

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