日本央行正式結束負利率,比特幣兌日圓還能創新高嗎?
· 2024-03-20

日本央行正式結束負利率,比特幣兌日圓還能創新高嗎?

日本央行 (BOJ) 宣布正式結束負利率政策,17 年來首次升息,將基準利率從-0.1%上調至 0% 至 0.1% 的區間,同時也取消了殖利率曲線控制政策。政策宣布後,日股上漲,日幣仍走貶,比特幣兌日圓還能創新高嗎?

內容目錄

日股上漲,日幣仍走貶

日經 225 指數今日收在四萬點以上,上漲 0.66%。日本股市在經歷了數十年的低迷後,終於在二月突破 1989 年的高點,3/6 盤中曾創高到 40,472 。

(日本股市突破歷史新高,波克夏投資五大商社大賺 80 億美元)

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不過雖然日本終結自 2016 年 2 月實施的負利率政策,但與美元間的利差仍有 5% 以上的差距,美元兌日幣 (USDJPY) 僅在公布後短暫下跌,隨後又一路上行,截稿前報 150.36。日幣的走勢仍顯疲軟。

比特幣兌日圓還能創新高嗎?

由於日幣長期處於負利率,被投資人做為利差交易 (carry trade) 的工具,比特幣兌日圓早在二月就創下歷史新高 (當時比特幣兌美元仍在 52K) 。如今日本終於結束負利率時代,日本股市不斷上漲,再加上日本企業薪資和國內物價同步上漲,日幣是否能從此擺脫貶值的命運,慢慢回到正軌呢?

註:利差交易 (carry trade) 指在低利率的國家 (比如日本) 借錢,換成較高利率國家 (如美國) 的貨幣,以賺取利差。

(比特幣兌日圓創歷史新高,日本GDP被德國超車,痛失第三大經濟體寶座)

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