摩根大通:比特幣仍處超買區域,可能下修至42K
· 2024-03-22

摩根大通:比特幣仍處超買區域,可能下修至42K

根據 The Block 的報導,摩根大通分析師認為,儘管過去一周比特幣價格出現了調整,但仍處於「超買區域」。比特幣可能會修正至 42,000 美元

比特幣在上週由歷史高點 73,777 一路回調,最低曾來到 60,775 ,回檔幅度高達 17%。但摩根大通分析師卻認為,依據他們的期貨部位以及比特幣期貨/現貨的溢價指標來觀察,比特幣仍處於「超買區域」。儘管過去一周出現幣價出現大幅度的調整,但以部位來看,卻僅有小幅度的平倉。

報告中並提及了最近比特幣現貨 ETF 流入的放緩,挑戰了資金持續單向流入現貨 ETF 的信念。

廣告 - 內文未完請往下捲動

隨著減半事件逐漸接近,這種獲利了結的情況更有可能持續下去。

根據月初的報導,摩根大通認為減半後,因為獎勵減少和生產成本的上升,將對礦工的盈利造成負面影響,比特幣的價格可能會跌至 42,000 美元左右。而且考量風險與波動性等因素後,比特幣市值也不可能追上黃金。

(摩根大通:比特幣將在四月減半後回調到 42,000 美元)

(摩根大通:比特幣價格應為45,000美元,市值追上黃金並不合理)

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