Good Bets for NFL Playoff (January 26th): Bills and Commanders to Cover the Spread in the Conference Championships
Regulation · 2025-01-25

Good Bets for NFL Playoff (January 26th): Bills and Commanders to Cover the Spread in the Conference Championships

The NFL Conference Championship is upon us after some stellar displays in the Division Round, and we have all the betting suggestions and tips that you can try and follow.

The Washington Commanders posed the biggest upset in the Division Round by eliminating the 15-2 Lions. On their road to Super Bowl LIX they still remain underdogs as now they have to face the Philadelphia Eagles, which eliminated the Los Angeles Rams by 28-22 in the previous game.

As far as the AFC Conference Championship goes, no surprises there as the two teams with the best season record advanced. The defending champions, the Kansas City Chiefs, dispatched the Texans with ease, while the Bills had some problems with the Ravens but eventually defeated them by 27-25.

It’s only one game till Super Bowl LIX and while things seem clear, here are our thoughts and betting tips for the forthcoming games.

*Sports betting carries inherent risks, and outcomes can be unpredictable. The recommendations offered here are based on current data and analysis but should not be viewed as guarantees of success.

The NFC Championship game between the Washington Commanders and Philadelphia Eagles is set for Sunday, January 26. The Eagles are 6-point favorites with a -300 moneyline, while the Commanders are +240 underdogs. The over/under is set at 47.5 points*.

Given Philadelphia’s strong home record and their ability to dominate the line of scrimmage, they seem likely to win, but Washington’s recent road success and Jayden Daniels’ late-game heroics could make for a close contest.

Consider the Commanders +6.5 points, as they’ve demonstrated consistent spread coverage and have momentum from their playoff run. Also, everyone sees this as a low-scoring game, so take the under as an alternative. 

*Odds provided by BetMGM – subject to change

In the AFC Championship game, the Buffalo Bills are getting ready to face the on Sunday, at Arrowhead Stadium. The Chiefs are slight favorites with a -2 point spread and -130 moneyline, while the Bills are +110 underdogs. The over/under is set at 47.5 points*, with both teams boasting high-powered offenses led by star quarterbacks Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes.

Consider the Bills to cover the spread (+2). They’ve shown strong performance against the spread, covering in 7 of their last 10 games. Additionally, the Bills’ impressive turnover differential (+24 in the regular season) could be a key factor in a close game. 

*Odds provided by BetMGM – subject to change

Need a sportsbook for your betslip? Explore our list of the best betting options in the US. Interested in bookmaker app features? We’ve tested those too. And if you need help with general betting advice and terminology, take a look at our guides. Here is a list of the best welcome bonuses by state.

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